{"id":371,"date":"2024-12-11T18:00:24","date_gmt":"2024-12-11T19:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.pacific-hydro.com\/?p=371"},"modified":"2025-02-28T23:00:09","modified_gmt":"2025-02-28T23:00:09","slug":"from-michelin-star-recipes-to-trading-systems-the-secret-behind-our-104-return","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.pacific-hydro.com\/index.php\/2024\/12\/11\/from-michelin-star-recipes-to-trading-systems-the-secret-behind-our-104-return\/","title":{"rendered":"From Michelin Star Recipes to Trading Systems: The Secret Behind Our 104% Return"},"content":{"rendered":"
In the restaurant world, few honors are as prestigious as a Michelin star.<\/p>\n
These stars are given to restaurants with exceptional food. Out of over 15 million restaurants worldwide, fewer than 16,000 have earned a Michelin star \u2014 just 0.10%.<\/p>\n
Michelin-star chefs like Alain Ducasse<\/a>, Gordon Ramsay<\/a> and Massimo Bottura<\/a> are not just cooks. They are global celebrities who have transformed fine dining.<\/p>\n What fascinates me is how these chefs take simple, everyday ingredients and turn them into masterpieces. Even if you had their recipes, recreating the same dishes would be extremely difficult.<\/p>\n Why?<\/p>\n Because great chefs don\u2019t just follow recipes \u2014 they adapt as they cook.<\/p>\n They tweak flavors, adjust techniques and make decisions based on years of experience. Many of these steps come naturally to professionals but are unknown to most home cooks.<\/p>\n The same idea applies to system trading.<\/p>\n When I started building rules-based trading systems in the early 1980s, I was lucky to meet Bruce Kovner (net worth $7.7 billion), a hedge fund manager.<\/p>\n Kovner founded Caxton Associates in 1983 and grew to manage over $14 billion at its peak. Since 1992, the firm has been closed to new investors.<\/p>\n I met him through his brother Richard, who I worked with. When Richard introduced us, I had no idea who Bruce was. He seemed like a college professor \u2014 calm and unassuming.<\/p>\n But after just a few minutes of talking, I realized he was a market wizard.<\/p>\n I asked him if he had any advice for a young man in his 20s who was trying to build trading systems.<\/p>\n He smiled and said, \u201cA great system is one that constantly adapts.\u201d<\/p>\n At the time, I didn\u2019t fully understand what he meant, but I never forgot it.<\/p>\n Over the years, his advice proved to be brilliant. Financial markets are always changing and trading systems must evolve to keep up.<\/p>\n When I built my newest system, Profit Accelerator<\/em>, I tested its rules on 20 years of historical data.<\/p>\n It performed incredibly well in the lab, but the real challenge was determining how it would perform in real-world conditions.<\/p>\n Now, it\u2019s approaching its one-year anniversary. And the system is outperforming expectations. It\u2019s up more than 104%<\/strong>, beating the S&P 500 by 3.5X.<\/em><\/p>\n Profit Accelerator<\/em> was built using publicly available research.<\/p>\n The idea that momentum outperforms in markets is well-known,<\/a> as is the fact that smoother momentum (rather than jumpy momentum) tends to be more predictive<\/a>.<\/p>\n These concepts are backed by Nobel Prize-winning research and are available to anyone<\/a> willing to dig into them.<\/p>\n But just as a home cook can\u2019t perfectly replicate a Michelin-star chef\u2019s recipe, the same is true for building and executing trading systems.<\/p>\n The difference lies in the small details and expert tweaks that only come with years of experience.<\/p>\n It\u2019s not just about following the rules \u2014 it\u2019s about knowing when to adjust them to maximize performance. Those fine-tuned decisions make all the difference.<\/p>\nBuild Systems That Adapt<\/strong><\/h2>\n
Beating the Market<\/strong><\/h2>\n